The third cycle of games in the SPL calendar is drawing to a close and with it will come the much debated split. While arguments about the merits of this curious structure continue the reality is that those that are in the top six after 33 games will be guaranteed a minimum of 7.5% of the commercial revenue that the SPL will release at the end of the season.
It seems certain that the first five slots are all but settled and that the real competition is for sixth place. Motherwell and Inverness are the chief contenders although St Johnstone and Hibs still have an outside chance.
Motherwell have the advantage over our Highland rivals by a point although Inverness have a far better goal difference (+2 compared to -7). Which team will gather the bigger haul from the run in?
Last 4 games before the split
|
Motherwell play |
Inverness play |
|
Kilmarnock (a) |
Dundee United (a) |
|
Aberdeen (h) |
Celtic (h) |
|
Dundee United (h) |
Kilmarnock (a) |
|
Hearts (a) 9 April |
Hearts (h) 16 April |
If league position reflects a team’s current ability then it would appear that we have the easier run in. As it happens both teams have to play Kilmarnock, Dundee United and Hearts and for the fourth game Motherwell play Aberdeen while Inverness host Celtic.
There is one aspect of the timings that could act in ICT’s favour. Motherwell’s SPL season will end on April 9 while Inverness will face Hearts for their final game a week later. Terry Butcher will know exactly what is needed if a top six place is available to him. The situation could arise whereby a friendly draw would suit both hearts and Inverness.
There will be a few twists and turns before the split arrives but there’s no doubt that a win at Rugby Park this weekend would nudge us much closer to security in the top half.
Come on ye ‘Well.